{"id":9414,"date":"2017-09-02T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2017-09-01T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aspeninstitutece.softmedia.cz\/article\/2017\/lot-smoke-lot-money-little-effect\/"},"modified":"2024-09-30T18:49:23","modified_gmt":"2024-09-30T16:49:23","slug":"lot-smoke-lot-money-little-effect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/article\/2017\/lot-smoke-lot-money-little-effect\/","title":{"rendered":"Lot of Smoke, <br>Lot of Money, <br>but to Little Effect"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cWe will fight with all our might to abolish the Bene\u0161 decrees that have deprived Hungarians of their rights,\u201d declared the Hungarian State Secretary for National Policy, \u00c1rp\u00e1d Pot\u00e1pi, on 5 June in the small town of Bonyh\u00e1d at an event marking the 70th anniversary of the expulsion of a large part of the Hungarian minority from Slovakia (some of those displaced have ended up in Bonyh\u00e1d). The event also celebrated what is known as the Day of National Solidarity, a holiday introduced by Viktor Orb\u00e1n\u2019s second government soon after taking power in 2010. The holiday falls on the 4 June, the anniversary of the signing of the Treaty of Trianon, which sealed the breakup of historic Hungary.<\/p>\n<p>It is worth taking a closer look at Pot\u00e1pi\u2019s speech and its context, since it unwittingly sums up in a nutshell everything there is to know about Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government\u2019s current policy with regard to Hungarian minorities in the neighboring countries.<\/p>\n<p>The mere fact that Pot\u00e1pi\u2019s speech was noticed by the Slovak and Czech media (the latter mistakenly promoted him to minister) and the Hungarian minority media, particularly in Slovakia, is noteworthy. However, in Hungary proper it was covered almost exclusively by the media controlled by the ruling party Fidesz (including public service media) and those close to the extreme right-wing party Jobbik. The statement has been virtually ignored by the rest of what is left of the independent media in the country, which is a good indication of its weight and significance.<\/p>\n<h2>A New Rift among the Visegrad Group<\/h2>\n<p>In February 2002, just before his first term as prime minister came to an end, Orb\u00e1n created a stir when he declared that the Bene\u0161 decrees were incompatible with the European Union law, and Hungary therefore expected that the Czech Republic and Slovakia would automatically strike them from their law books. His statement caused a new rift among the Visegrad countries, whose cooperation had been briefly revived by the new Czech government under Milo\u0161 Zeman, who, unlike his predecessor V\u00e1clav Klaus, was a supporter of V4 cooperation. In\u00a0response to Orb\u00e1n\u2019s words, Zeman cancelled his participation at the planned meeting of V4 prime ministers in Hungary, as did the Slovak Prime Minister Mikul\u00e1\u0161 Dzurinda, who was embroiled in other disputes with Orb\u00e1n at the time.<\/p>\n<p>There are, of course, several key differences between what happened then and now. To begin with, a statement by a prime minister carries much more weight than that by a secretary of state. In 2002, the Hungarian media began to comment on Orb\u00e1n\u2019s statement especially after its repercussions became evident. However, the situation in Hungary and the surrounding countries has changed quite a lot in recent years.<\/p>\n<p>Even the scandal caused by the Speaker of the Hungarian Parliament in 2015, L\u00e1szl\u00f3 K\u00f6v\u00e9r, (he told the Czech daily Pr\u00e1vo that the Czech Republic and Slovakia should not have been admitted to the EU in the first place given that the Bene\u0161 decrees, based as they are on the principle of collective guilt, continue to be part of their legal system) died down rapidly and without any fallout. Hungary\u2019s ambassador to the Czech Republic told the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Prague that the Budapest government dissociated itself from K\u00f6v\u00e9r\u2019s words, did not wish to reopen the issue, and put the emphasis on developing friendly bilateral relations.<\/p>\n<p>Pot\u00e1pi is just a foot-soldier whose job it is to visit his fellow countrymen, lay wreaths, and give symbolic speeches. Starting in 1998, he served for ten years as a backbench MP for Fidesz and twelve years as the mayor of Bonyh\u00e1d. The fact that he was in charge of an ethnically mixed town whose inhabitants also include descendants of the Hungarians expelled from Slovakia was his main qualification for being appointed; first as the chairman of the parliamentary committee for national togetherness and later as the state secretary for national policy.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00f6v\u00e9r, on the other hand, is a key politician of the ruling Fidesz party, albeit not because of his role as Speaker of the Parliament, an institution that makes no significant decisions these days. K\u00f6v\u00e9r is a founding member\u00a0of Fidesz, and has long been one of Orb\u00e1n\u2019s closest associates. His position has weakened in recent years precisely because of his habit of speaking his mind. When abroad, he has often said aloud things that other Fidesz politicians have kept to themselves for tactical reasons or have only said in front of a domestic audience. Nevertheless, K\u00f6v\u00e9r continues to be an important and emblematic figure in his party.<\/p>\n<h2>Words without Practical Impacts<\/h2>\n<p>This brings us to the main reason why the independent media paid little attention to Pot\u00e1pi\u2019s words while, on the other hand, they were extensively covered by the government media.<\/p>\n<p>What really matters is not that Pot\u00e1pi himself is no heavyweight but the fact that his words were not expected to have any practical impact. They are typical of Orban\u2019s current \u201cnational policy\u201d with regard to Hungarians abroad. Its main goal is to keep Fidesz in power in Hungary proper. Anything that does not directly serve this purpose, such as Pot\u00e1pi\u2019s statements, is usually merely symbolic and of a propagandistic nature, intended to obscure the government\u2019s real ambitions.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government has paid a great deal of attention to the Hungarians living in the neighboring countries. One of his first steps after he came to power in 2010 was to pass a law on dual citizenship.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Some 2.5 million people who profess Hungarian nationality currently live in the neighboring countries. According to the 2011 census, most of them live in Romania (1,237,000), Slovakia (458,000), and Serbia (254,000). The number of those comprising the Hungarian minority in these countries has been in sharp decline. At the time of the previous census in 2002, there were still 1,434,000 Hungarians in Romania, while 521,000 were registered in Slovakia in 2001.<\/p>\n<p>On the face of it, Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government has paid a great deal of attention to the Hungarians living in the neighboring countries. One of his second government\u2019s first steps soon after he came to power in 2010 was to pass a law on dual citizenship. Under the new legislation, Hungarians living outside of Hungary are entitled to Hungarian citizenship even if they do not have permanent residence in Hungary proper. Formally, this is not granted\u00a0on an ethnic basis. They have to demonstrate that they themselves, or their ancestors, have in the past been citizens of Hungary and that they lost their citizenship as a result of the redrawing of borders in the twentieth century.<\/p>\n<p>However, the authorities have been very lenient in granting citizenship in practice, and anyone able to prove some relationship to the Hungarian nation by, for example, having a command of the language, could receive it.<\/p>\n<h2>The Citizenship as an Attempt to Produce New Voters<\/h2>\n<p>Although the large-scale handing out of Hungarian citizenship met with resistance in the neighboring countries, the main problem is that it has been first and foremost an attempt to produce masses of new Fidesz voters. Along with citizenship, Hungarians abroad were also granted voting rights in Hungary\u2019s general elections. The Hungarian government literally organized recruitment drives for new citizens and launched an intensive campaign urging members of the minority to apply for citizenship.<\/p>\n<p>This has, indeed, brought Fidesz hundreds of thousands of new voters, as the assumption had been right from the outset that among minority Hungarians it would be mostly Orb\u00e1n\u2019s supporters who would be interested in applying for citizenship and going to the polls. For example, 95 percent of the new dual citizens cast their votes for Fidesz in the most recent parliamentary election in 2014, and it is estimated that these 123 thousand votes helped Fidesz garner one or two seats. That does not sound like a lot, but it was these extra seats that were just enough for the party to keep its constitutional majority.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Fidesz claims that minority Hungarians have to decide for themselves what they want and that Budapest\u2019s job is solely to help them achieve it. However, the exact opposite is happening in practice.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Another example of the power-driven and highly counterproductive minority policy conducted by Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government is its constant meddling in the internal affairs of the Hungarian communities in the neighboring countries. Fidesz claims that minority Hungarians have to decide for themselves what they want and that Budapest\u2019s job is solely to help them achieve it. However, the exact opposite is happening in practice.<\/p>\n<p>Fidesz has been trying to control the political representation of the minority Hungarians, lending its support only to those politicians who unreservedly\u00a0do Budapest\u2019s bidding. In Slovakia, for example, Fidesz has provided the more radical Hungarian Community Party (SMK) with huge support (including funding), while refusing to even acknowledge the more moderate yet more successful Hungarian-Slovak party, Most-H\u00edd.<\/p>\n<h2>\u201cUnifying of the Nation across the Borders\u201d<\/h2>\n<p>Whenever Hungary has not been happy with Hungarian politicians and parties in a particular country, it has not shrunk from trying to set up (usually without success) new parties to compete with the \u201cdisobedient\u201d existing ones and try to steal their voters.<\/p>\n<p>Fine-sounding measures with almost zero practical impact are meant to hide this kind of exploitation of Hungarians abroad for the domestic political struggle. For example, the government has established a separate department for national policy within the prime minister\u2019s office, headed by the Deputy Prime Minister and Minister without Portfolio, Zsolt Semj\u00e9n (Pot\u00e1pi\u2019s boss).<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government has been sending abroad substantial amounts of money from Hungary\u2019s state budget. The effect is dubious, as the money is often spent on purely symbolic activities.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>What officially passes for national policy in Hungary is the championing of a cultural and, to some extent, also political unity of the Hungarian nation at home and abroad. This does not amount to a redrawing of existing state borders but rather to \u201cunifying of the nation across the borders,\u201d as a popular Fidesz foreign policy slogan has it. This involves the bolstering of Hungarian identity among members of minorities and supporting their rights, including the right to some sort of autonomy.<\/p>\n<p>The Budapest policy presents autonomy as an essential precondition for the survival of minorities and the preservation of their Hungarian national identity. The forms of the expected autonomy vary depending on the conditions in individual countries: from a straightforward cultural and educational autonomy right up to a territorial one, for which parts of the Hungarian minority in Romania are striving. In March 2015, the post of ministerial commissioner for developing various concepts of autonomy was created.<\/p>\n<p>A number of further steps aimed at bolstering the relations among Hungarians at home and abroad have been taken, including the establishment of the Day of National Solidarity mentioned earlier.<\/p>\n<h2>Large Amounts of Money for Budapest\u2019s Local Clients<\/h2>\n<p>However, most of these actions have been merely symbolic. The office of the deputy prime minister for national policy is basically a symbolic institution that carries out very few real activities. It organizes public appearances by its officials and their visits to Hungarians abroad. Nevertheless, it is partially in charge of the redistribution of funds from Budapest aimed at Hungarians abroad: to achieve its aims, Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government has been sending abroad substantial amounts of money from Hungary\u2019s state budget. The effect of this expenditure, however, is dubious, as the money is often spent on purely symbolic activities and is allocated almost exclusively to Budapest\u2019s local clients.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Budapest\u2019s support for the DAC football club in Dunajsk\u00e1 Streda in Slovakia has been similarly generous. The club, regarded as a cornerstone of local Hungarian minority identity, is owned by a former minority politician.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The greatest distributor of money to Hungarians abroad is the G\u00e1bor Bethlen Foundation, established by the government. The investigative server erdely.atlatszo.hu claims that last year the foundation distributed 60.1 billion forints (around 195 million euros). Hungarian minorities, however, have not by any means been the largest recipients of these funds. Exact amounts are difficult to pinpoint, since the payments come from various sources and the whole system lacks transparency.<\/p>\n<p>Large amounts of money also flow abroad from various reserve funds, or are disguised as economic aid to fellow countrymen, or as subsidies for businesses or infrastructure projects in the areas where they live. Two examples will suffice to illustrate how these funds are really used.<\/p>\n<p>In February this year a minor scandal broke out when it became known that in the previous year the prime minister\u2019s office donated 220 million forints (around 710 million euros) to Libertate, a civic association in Slovakia. The organization was completely unknown in Slovakia as well as in Hungary and nobody knew what it was actually doing.<\/p>\n<p>However, it soon transpired that it had only been registered six months before it received the funds and that its leaders were people close to SMK. And even they were unable to explain to the media how they were going to use the money. There is reasonable suspicion that this was a case of covert funding for SMK and Fidesz\u2019s clients in Slovakia.<\/p>\n<h2>Orb\u00e1n Has Failed to Take Any Steps towards Abolishing the Bene\u0161 Decrees<\/h2>\n<p>In January this year it was reported that Hungary was going to donate three billion forints (around 10 million euros) towards the construction of a new football stadium and a football academy in Ba\u010dka Topola, a city in Serbia with a majority Hungarian population. Officially, this is being presented as an aid of national solidarity and helping to foster the national pride of minority Hungarians through sport. In reality, it is rather an attempt to curry favor with the minority Hungarian voters in advance of next year\u2019s general election in Hungary.<\/p>\n<p>Budapest\u2019s support for the DAC football club in Dunajsk\u00e1 Streda in Slovakia has been similarly generous. Furthermore, the club, regarded as a cornerstone of local Hungarian minority identity, is owned by a former minority politician and currently the most powerful Hungarian oligarch in Slovakia with close links to Fidesz and Orb\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>Let us return to the issue of President Edvard Bene\u0161\u2019s post-war decrees mentioned earlier. By condemning the decrees, Pot\u00e1pi and\u00a0K\u00f6v\u00e9r said nothing that might differ from the view of all Hungarian politicians, including opposition ones. They cannot be really expected to approve of decrees based on the principle of collective guilt, which deprived the Hungarians of Czechoslovakia of their civil rights and property. At the same time, Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government has for years failed to take any specific steps towards abolishing the decrees.<\/p>\n<p>This is partly because it is not quite sure what such an abolition might mean in practice while, on the other hand, it knows that it cannot succeed in this matter, especially now that it has lost its last ally. The Federal Republic of Germany had never pushed too hard for the abolition of the decrees, and in recent years the attitude of the influential Sudeten German Association has also started to shift. At their last congress there was even talk of placing more emphasis on cooperation between the Czechs and the Germans instead of pursuing a dispute that is not going anywhere.<\/p>\n<h2>Budapest Does Not Wish to Risk Ruining Its Relations with Prague and Bratislava<\/h2>\n<p>Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government is also aware that its controversial policy is driving it into isolation and that it has to rely on the support of at least its remaining\u00a0allies in the Visegrad group. That is why it does not wish to risk ruining its relations with the Czech and Slovak governments over some ancient decrees, at least as long as it needs these two countries\u2019 support against what it regards as more critical enemies, such as refugees and Brussels.<\/p>\n<p>Speeches of the kind given by Pot\u00e1pi are part and parcel of the government propaganda aimed at Hungarians at home and abroad. Basically, they are meant to send a reassuring signal that the government is continuing to fight their corner while hiding the fact that it is actually not doing anything.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government is also aware that its controversial policy is driving it into isolation and that it has to rely on the support of at least its remaining allies in the Visegrad group.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Orb\u00e1n\u2019s government is interested in the Hungarians abroad only as long as it is to its own benefit and is ready to throw them overboard the minute it feels that supporting the minorities could prove damaging. Many foreign observers have welcomed this change, since, at least on the face of it, this has helped calm the relations between Hungary and her neighbors. However, we should bear in mind that this is pure calculation on Orb\u00e1n\u2019s part. Should he conclude that he would benefit more from a tougher stance vis-\u00e0-vis the country\u2019s neighbors under the pretext of defending the rights of the Hungarian minorities, he will not hesitate one moment and will change course again.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Orb\u00e1n\u2019s policy exploits Hungarian minorities abroad to cement its power at home. His calculation is clear: The votes of the foreign Hungarians could secure the constitutional majority of his government in the parliament.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":7090,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[230,231,97,157,162],"class_list":["post-9414","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nezarazene","tag-benes-decrees","tag-citizenship","tag-hungary","tag-orban","tag-slovakia"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9414","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9414"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9414\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10463,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9414\/revisions\/10463"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7090"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9414"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9414"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.aspeninstitutece.org\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9414"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}